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Iran, Oil & Famine: How Bad Can It Really Get?
Today’s data presents a picture of resilience that sits somewhat uneasily alongside the geopolitical backdrop, with U.S. retail sales rising by 1.7% in March, comfortably ahead of expectations and reinforcing the view that consumer demand remains strong, and that the Federal Reserve may have less urgency to cut rates than markets had previously assumed. In […]
The Regulatory Battle to Make Gold a Bank Asset Just Hit a Major Turning Point
At the time of writing gold continues to trade above $4,800 per ounce, holding firm despite a noticeable lack of follow-through buying. At the same time, stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data has tempered immediate recession concerns. The Philadelphia Federal Reserve’s manufacturing index rose sharply in April, while jobless claims declined again, suggesting that parts of the […]
