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The Art of Prediction, the Folly of Certainty, and the Case for Gold
This week I found myself once again sharpening the pencil, staring into the foggy crystal ball, and submitting forecasts for the Reuters Precious Metals Survey. It’s a peculiar exercise, this act of prediction, especially in the world of gold. The survey invites industry participants to project where the prices of gold, silver, platinum, and palladium […]
Silver’s Signal: Why This Spike Feels Different
Every so often, silver jolts the market out of complacency. It did so in 1980, again in 2011, and now, yet again, in 2025. Prices recently surged to just under $39 per ounce, their highest since 2011. But if we’re to believe this is just a technical rally or meme-driven flash, we may be missing […]