30 August, 2010
Markets nervously await data this week including the important monthly jobs number which will likely again underline the risks of a double dip recession. While Asian shares advanced, European shares (London closed for a public holiday) have been more tentative this morning and the US futures are marginally positive. Currencies markets have not seen much movement but yen is stronger again today despite concerns that the government action will not be able to control currency price movements.
26 August, 2010
25 August, 2010
24 August, 2010
Gold fell marginally yesterday and has fallen for a third day in a row. Gold's hesitation and weakness is likely due to renewed dollar strength, oil weakness and profit taking after gold's recent sharp rally. Market participants will be nervous about another disappointing report on the housing market later today.
Gold is currently trading at $1,215.75/oz, €964.12/oz, £789.19/oz.
23 August, 2010
Gold traded sideways in Asian trade, hovering near last week's close at $1,228/oz. There was a brief spike to $1,231.35/oz in early European trade prior to sharp and determined selling. Gold remained marginally higher until the London AM fix whereupon there was a further wave of selling which took prices down to $1,225.30/oz. Gold is lower in most currencies except the euro and the Swiss franc which are slightly weaker this morning (see Cross Currency Rates).
Gold is currently trading at $1,225.72/oz, €964.91/oz, £788.30/oz.
20 August, 2010
Risk aversion remains on as European equity markets have followed their US and Asian counterparts lower after yesterday's poor US economic data. The dollar and yen have rallied today and this is contributing to gold's slight weakness in these currencies this morning. Gold is higher in Canadian dollars, euros and marginally higher in sterling as these currencies have fallen today. Government bond yields continue to fall to record lows with US Treasuries at their lowest yield in 11 months and German Bunds at record low yields.
19 August, 2010
Gold rose to new 6 week highs at $1,237/oz after the disappointing US jobs number heightened concerns about the health of the US economic recovery. The rise follows yesterday's recovery from initial falls and marginal higher close as safe haven buying trumped an initial bout of profit taking.
There is no technical resistance between this price level and the record highs (nominal) seen in June at $1,265/oz and the fundamentals continue to remain sound with safe haven demand remaining quite high - especially for this time of year.
18 August, 2010
Gold fell to $1,220/oz per ounce in early European trade before bouncing. It is now trading at $1,223/oz and has thus given up some of yesterday's small gains as summer trading volumes remain low and traders book profits after the recent rise in gold prices. Investors remain risk averse as seen in weakness in equity markets and the safe haven bid for German bunds, Japanese yen and US Treasurys (despite the dollar coming under selling pressure).
12 August, 2010
Gold has risen (over $1,214/oz) on safe haven buying after the poor jobs number underlined growing concerns about the health of the US and global recovery. Concerns about sovereign debt markets in Europe have seen the euro come under pressure again.
Economic uncertainty has not been helped by Fitch warning that the US AAA credit rating may come under pressure in the coming years.
Gold is currently trading at $1,213.70/oz, €944.92/oz and £777.76/oz.
11 August, 2010
Gold rose yesterday in the intermediate aftermath of the worse than expected US trade deficit figures ($49.9 billion - exports down 1.3%; imports down 3%). Gold has maintained those gains despite weakness in equity markets and in US futures.
Risk aversion is back on after the Federal Reserve expressed concerns about the recovery. The pessimistic tone of their communication has led to increased concerns of a double dip recession. In this environment, investors should remain defensive and continue to diversify into gold.